Life Is Variable!

Michael Hallett • May 24, 2022

Has life ever handed you a fixed timeline? Is each day, each week, each month, each year always the same? Most would say No. How often has life presented you with challenging changes? Often enough to say that life varies from time to time. Take for example Covid-19 in March 2020 and the years that followed, we all had to adjust and make changes. 


Because life is variable, your mortgage should be too!


If you’ve gotten this far but don’t want to or feel the need to continue reading, honestly, there is no need. The following 1,036 words are summarized by the title of this article, 3 simple words to live by.


The Bank of Canada’s next rate announcement comes *June 1st. We are expecting to see an increase in prime of ~0.50% (or 50 basis points). Having said that, we really don’t know what is going to happen until it happens. Sometimes there is a clear indication by the economists of the rate increase, but half the time there are different messages across the board.


*Remaining Bank of Canada rate announcement scheduled for 2022

  • June 1
  • July 13
  • September 7
  • October 26
  • December 7


The schedule works out to 8 times a year, approximately every 45 days.


What does an increase 0.50% really mean? What does it mean to you? If the interest rate rises 0.50% your payment will increase $26/month for every $100,000 you have borrowed. How will this impact your life? Your budget? Your cashflow?


Fixed vs Variable, it’s always been a hot topic and will remain for the foreseeable future. For the past 2 years 70% of all mortgage consumers have opted for the lowest interest rate which is a variable rate mortgage product. This provides lower monthly payment and increased mortgage flexibility. Most lenders are shocked that borrowers are opting to live a variable life, not fixed.


This is where the thought process sometimes shifts, and borrowers start thinking about what rate they could have had versus what we will end up with. Electing to choose a variable over a fixed mortgage was only half the decision. By opting for a variable rate mortgage, you will not be part of the overwhelming statistic that 65% of all fixed rate mortgage will be terminated within the first 33 months. The termination will then trigger a penalty that is 9 times greater than variable. 2 of 3 people/families is not a small consideration. Any savings that may have been created has been completely obliterated by the penalty be charged. I recently had a client that had to opt out of their $500,000 fixed mortgage, the penalty triggered was $21,000. Had it been a variable they would have saved over $18,000.


It's never ONLY about the interest rate. There is a much bigger picture to consider.


Most mortgage consumers either opt for a fixed or variable rate mortgage (VRM) product. Some of you might not know, there is a third type of mortgage known as adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM). It usually gets referred to as variable, but it’s not.


ARM – The payments are automatically adjusted according to the prime lending rate set by the lender. For these lenders, you simply must ride the wave. The great benefit is you do not need to worry about not covering the interest payment. 


VRM – The payment is static, like a fixed payment. Any adjustments are made manually. This mortgage product is great because you will not see the payments change when the prime lending increases. However, in a fast-rising rate environment where prime is increasing the consumer needs to make sure interest is being covered with each payment, this is called trigger rate. If surpassed, a variable rate borrower needs to increase their payment to be 100% sure the interest each month is covered. 


If you are unsure which of the above mortgage product you have, please contact me for verification.


Most lenders and mortgages brokers did not expect this rate environment, no one forecasted inflation to skyrocket like it has, primarily because of the supply chain issues and the war in Ukraine. There has been some re-assurance from the Bank of Canada (BoC) to provide some comfortable for VRM and ARM consumers. The BoC has stated that the outer maximum range for PRIME is 5.25%. This is a mark they have modelled to control inflation. Remember, your variable rate will maintain the discount off PRIME for the entire duration of the term. If PRIME gets to 5.25% and your discount is 1.0%, your principal and interest payment is based on 4.25%. 


My variable rate mortgages will remain as variable rate, I will NOT be switching to a fixed term. Not because of the rate, but more likely because I will need to re-finance my mortgage to act on an opportunity. Real estate is a long game with ups and downs, we’ve all gotten too used to low rates. Let’s not forget the 25 yr average is 5%+. By locking in, you would be self-imposing a rate increase that may not even happen and locking pricing profits for the lender. Once inflation is under control, the PRIME lending rate will decrease. 


It's ultimately a decision you must make, risk and reward or risk falling into the fixed penalty trap. I strongly urge you to consider sticking with your variable mortgage or if you are transitioning to a new mortgage consider variable over fixed.


Please reach out to me if you want to discuss further – 604-616-2266 or michael@hallettmortgage.com.  


Will higher rates slow or cool down the market? Yes, but not for long.


I’ve seen some recent reports and posts that the housing prices coming down. This means the housing market is cool off, which is greater for buyers. I know there are a lot of people trying to time the bottom of the market. In my opinion, trying to time the market is virtually impossible. Many others are trying the same tactic. Once the ‘bottom’ strikes everybody will jump back in at the same time and we will once again be back to multiple offers over the asking price. 


If you are ready to buy, then buy!


I believe the increase in interest rates will (briefly) stall the market in BC, but not drastically change the pricing. The root of the problem is supply and demand. There are simply not enough sellers in the market. If there are sellers, they all want to buy before placing their home on the market, which is understandable. It’s a vicious cycle. I do believe the issue are the cities inability to process building permits in a timely manner. I appreciate the process of checks and balances but there is simply not enough turnover. Now the builders are also dealing with supply chain issues which further stalls homes coming to the market.


If you have any further questions, please do not hesitate to contact me.

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MICHAEL HALLETT
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By Michael Hallett February 4, 2026
Thinking of Calling Your Bank for a Mortgage? Read This First. If you're buying a home or renewing your mortgage, your first instinct might be to call your bank. It's familiar. It's easy. But it might also cost you more than you realize—in money, flexibility, and long-term satisfaction. Before you sign anything, here are four things your bank won’t tell you—and four reasons why working with an independent mortgage professional is the smarter move. 1. Your Bank Offers Limited Mortgage Options Banks can only offer what they sell. So if your financial situation doesn’t fit neatly into their guidelines—or if you’re looking for competitive terms—you might be out of luck. Working with a mortgage broker? You get access to mortgage products from hundreds of lenders : major banks, credit unions, monoline lenders, alternative lenders, B lenders, and even private funds. That means more options, more flexibility, and a much better chance of finding a mortgage that fits you. 2. Bank Reps Are Salespeople—Not Mortgage Strategists Let’s be honest: most bank mortgage reps are trained to sell their employer’s products—not to analyze your financial goals or tailor a long-term mortgage plan. Their job is to generate revenue for the bank. Independent mortgage professionals are different. We’re not tied to one lender—we’re tied to you. Our job is to shop around, negotiate on your behalf, and recommend the mortgage that offers the best balance of rate, terms, and flexibility. And yes, we get paid by the lender—but only after we find you a mortgage that works for your situation. That creates a win-win-win: you get the best deal, we earn our fee, and the lender earns your business. 3. Banks Don’t Lead with Their Best Rate It’s true. Banks often reserve their best rates for those who ask for them—or threaten to walk. And guess what? Most people don’t. Over 50% of Canadians accept the first renewal offer they get by mail. No questions asked. That’s exactly what the banks count on. Mortgage professionals don’t play that game. We start by finding lenders offering competitive rates upfront, and we handle the negotiations for you. There’s no guesswork, no pressure, and no settling for less than you deserve. 4. Bank Mortgages Are Often More Restrictive Than You Think Not all mortgages are created equal. Some come with hidden traps—especially around penalties. Ever heard of a sky-high prepayment charge when someone breaks their mortgage early? That’s often due to something called an Interest Rate Differential (IRD) —and big banks are notorious for using the harshest IRD calculations. When we help you choose a mortgage, we don’t just focus on the interest rate. We look at the whole picture, including: Prepayment privileges Penalty calculations Portability Future flexibility That way, if your life changes, your mortgage won’t become a financial anchor. A Quick Recap What your bank typically offers: Only their own limited mortgage products Sales-focused representatives, not mortgage strategists Default rates that aren’t usually their best Restrictive contracts with high penalties What an independent mortgage professional delivers: Access to over 200 lenders and customized mortgage solutions Personalized advice and long-term financial strategy Competitive rates and terms upfront Transparent, flexible mortgage options designed around your needs Let’s Talk Before You Sign Your mortgage is likely the biggest financial commitment you’ll ever make. So why settle for a one-size-fits-all solution? If you're buying, refinancing, or renewing, I’d love to help you explore your options, explain the fine print, and find a mortgage that truly works for you. Let’s start with a conversation—no pressure, just good advice.
By Michael Hallett January 28, 2026
Bank of Canada maintains policy rate at 2¼%. FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario January 28, 2026 The Bank of Canada today held its target for the overnight rate at 2.25%, with the Bank Rate at 2.5% and the deposit rate at 2.20%. The outlook for the global and Canadian economies is little changed relative to the projection in the October Monetary Policy Report (MPR). However, the outlook is vulnerable to unpredictable US trade policies and geopolitical risks. Economic growth in the United States continues to outpace expectations and is projected to remain solid, driven by AI-related investment and consumer spending. Tariffs are pushing up US inflation, although their effect is expected to fade gradually later this year. In the euro area, growth has been supported by activity in service sectors and will get additional support from fiscal policy. China’s GDP growth is expected to slow gradually, as weakening domestic demand offsets strength in exports. Overall, the Bank expects global growth to average about 3% over the projection horizon. Global financial conditions have remained accommodative overall. Recent weakness in the US dollar has pushed the Canadian dollar above 72 cents, roughly where it had been since the October MPR. Oil prices have been fluctuating in response to geopolitical events and, going forward, are assumed to be slightly below the levels in the October report. US trade restrictions and uncertainty continue to disrupt growth in Canada. After a strong third quarter, GDP growth in the fourth quarter likely stalled. Exports continue to be buffeted by US tariffs, while domestic demand appears to be picking up. Employment has risen in recent months. Still, the unemployment rate remains elevated at 6.8% and relatively few businesses say they plan to hire more workers. Economic growth is projected to be modest in the near term as population growth slows and Canada adjusts to US protectionism. In the projection, consumer spending holds up and business investment strengthens gradually, with fiscal policy providing some support. The Bank projects growth of 1.1% in 2026 and 1.5% in 2027, broadly in line with the October projection. A key source of uncertainty is the upcoming review of the Canada-US-Mexico Agreement. CPI inflation picked up in December to 2.4%, boosted by base-year effects linked to last winter’s GST/HST holiday. Excluding the effect of changes in taxes, inflation has been slowing since September. The Bank’s preferred measures of core inflation have eased from 3% in October to around 2½% in December. Inflation was 2.1% in 2025 and the Bank expects inflation to stay close to the 2% target over the projection period, with trade-related cost pressures offset by excess supply. Monetary policy is focused on keeping inflation close to the 2% target while helping the economy through this period of structural adjustment. Governing Council judges the current policy rate remains appropriate, conditional on the economy evolving broadly in line with the outlook we published today. However, uncertainty is heightened and we are monitoring risks closely. If the outlook changes, we are prepared to respond. The Bank is committed to ensuring that Canadians continue to have confidence in price stability through this period of global upheaval. Information note The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is March 18, 2026. The Bank’s next MPR will be released on April 29, 2026. Read the January 28th, 2026 Monetary Report