Where the Housing Market Is Headed in 2026–2027 (BC Focus)
Michael Hallett • December 5, 2025
Following several challenging years, British Columbia’s housing market is beginning to stabilize. Prices, which experienced downward pressure in 2024–2025, have largely plateaued, with some areas showing modest gains. The recent Bank of Canada rate reduction to 2.25% has lowered borrowing costs, improving affordability and supporting market activity.
Across the province, housing supply is gradually increasing. Builders are delivering more condos, townhomes, and single-family homes, easing some supply constraints.
Meanwhile, population growth, fueled by domestic migration and international immigration, continues to support long-term housing demand.
Key Statistics
- Home sales: BC home sales declined slightly in 2025 by approximately 1.1% to 73,650 units but are projected to rebound in 2026 by around 8.8%, reaching roughly 80,150 units.
- Average home price: The provincial average price dipped modestly by 0.9% in 2025 to $972,800, with forecasts projecting an increase of 3.2% in 2026 to approximately $1,004,000.
- Benchmark home price: As of April 2025, the BC benchmark home price stood at $953,500, down 1.3% year-over-year.
- Listings and inventory: Active listings are expected to exceed 40,000 units in 2025, the highest in more than a decade.
Market Forecast
- 2025: Market remains relatively flat, with modest declines in sales and prices.
- 2026: Sales and prices begin to recover, with modest upward trends.
- Early 2027: Market stabilizes, reflecting measured growth and improved affordability.
Regional differences will continue. Urban condo markets may see slower price appreciation, while suburban and smaller communities with limited supply could experience stronger gains.
What This Means for Buyers and Homeowners
- Prospective buyers: 2026 is an opportunity to enter a more balanced market with lower interest rates.
- Current homeowners: Refinancing or mortgage renewal could be advantageous in this period of slightly lower rates.
- Investors: Localized analysis is critical, as neighborhood inventory and rental demand will determine returns.
Bottom Line: BC’s housing market is shifting from a cooling phase toward a period of gradual recovery. Lower interest rates, steady population growth, and increased housing supply point to a healthier, more sustainable market. Buyers, homeowners, and investors should plan strategically, recognizing that while growth is returning, the pace will be measured and regionally variable.
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One of the most common questions, “how long does it take to get pre-qualified?” My response, “how fast can you provide the information I need.”
Playing in the forest today. Always fun exploring. #mountainbikingmortgagebroker
Mortgage Brokering meets mountain biking and craft beer. A couple months ago I set for a bike ride with the intention of answering few mortgage related questions, mission accomplished. Any good bike ride pairs nicely with a tasty beer which we enjoyed @parksidebrewery. Hope you see the passion I have for brokering, biking and beer. @torcabikes #mountainbikingmortgagebroker
My thighs were cold all day, it was ‘that’ deep. I was choking on snow all day.
The weather report was 36 cm of new snow, it was more like 45-50 cm of light deep powder. Insane day of skiing.
Spotted a ski-bunny today @kirstinjhallett so I trapped ‘er. 📸 credit @troy.hartley
Aidan leading the pack up the Lemming Line in seek of fine fresh powder.
Beautiful British Columbia! A cold winter day at its finest.
Aidan and I braved the -19C temperature and windy conditions for the boot to knee deep turns...it was a no-brainer.
Happy Holidays. Seasons Greetings. Merry Christmas. All the best from Kirstin, Aidan and Michael. Enjoy your family time.
Snow report for today was boot to knee deep in places. Simply an awesome day rippin’ with the kids, I had to show them that I still got it. 📷 credit @jhalskiing
It’s that time of year for my annual post, the Christmas Tree pilgrimage. The only that changes year after year is that Aidan gets taller! Not to worry though, the Canadian tuxedo jacket remains the same. HAPPY HOLIDAYS everyone. Much love to all.
Fresh wood in the morning...where is this treasure trail going to take me?
TEASER alert...at thats what I think they call it in the business. Years ago a wrote a blog called BEERS BIKES AND MORTGAGES. I some how (in my head) blended all 3 topics into 1 blog. Simply put, I enjoy aspects of all 3 with each of them providing something different. I re-united with the talented Regan Payne on a project that I think will shed a bit more light on who I am and what I do. #craftbeer #mountainbike #mortgagebrokerbc #dlccanadainc
Here is to looking forward past injuries, feels good to be riding again. It was a 18 week grind!
Extreme tubing, watch until the end. Aidan manages to hold on.
Lake life as a passenger is a good life. Captain @kirstinjhallett . #woodlake #kalamakalake
Yet another reason why our license plates say BEAUTIFUL BRITISH COLUMBIA on them. An evening enjoy the view on Pitt Lake.
Surfing! Don’t need functioning hands to surf. It was nice to do something active. Thanks @jordspring #sakinaw
Good thing there were a few other vehicles with winches on the front.
He was OK, thumbs up. The roll cage and 5-point seat belt did its job.
My sons intro to operating a side-by-side on his own. Watch to the end.
The Lookout over looking Tulameen BC. Took some 4x4ing to get there, but we did it.
The day started out great. Exploring the back country roads of BC, Stave Lake area. Views of Alouette Lake in the background
Impromptu ride on Burke. I dreamed of the day Aidan would ask to go for a ride...today was the day, “Dad do you want to go for a ride?” Heck ya, let’s go! This was a fun feature at the end.
An afternoon of exploring the Stave Lake zone. Planning to return soon once the snow melts to get some vertical.
Found a fun little gap-drop to session. I have my moments when I like my tires leaving the ground.
This would have been a fun stunt once upon a time!
And so it begins...another tool for adventuring! So different so fun!
You know it’s steep when your hand is touching the snow, high risk high reward.
The snow report suggested 8 cm had fallen, it was more like 25-30 cm.
Now that he has a dirt bike the hunt is on for me too. This is the first ride trying to figure out the timing of the throttle, clutch and brake...second ride was even better.
Exploring Pinecone Burke Provincial Park a month ago with @troy.hartley. Standing in the site of the old ski lodge.
A well weathered tree coming through yet another winter with Yak Peak 2,039 metres in the background. Putting my limited artist talent to the test, these iPhones and filters making anybody a photographer.
A successful reconnaissance mission we crossed Falls Lake, ski toured up towards Zopkios Peak 1921 m. It was a exceptional picnic destination. The skiing was shit!
Who’s is going to go first?...I’ll go if you don’t! No friends on a powder day! @j_penner70 📷 @sheascottcolpitts
An epic day. Everything was perfect. Depth of Snow. Visibility. Temperature. Even the company.
In the green room today on the best coast amidst winter...not a bad place. 📷 @dgm_images
I saw this hat on Instagram, that very moment I knew I needed it. As a BC boy born and bred The Outdoorsman hat needed to be added to my collection. As someone who loves BC and most things outdoor, I’m now glad I have a cool hat to wear and fly the flag of BEAUTIFUL BRITISH COLUMBIA. It will be in my bag for all post-exploration celebratory cold pints. If you want to check them out or add one to your collection go to @nineoclockgun ...and yes my facial hair matches the hat as well.
When two of your ski buddies are 13 years old, you know you’re raising rippers. @paigerriley
My ski buddy getting untracked turns. It was knee to thigh deep all day for him, only shin to knee for me.
We went for a snowshoe this afternoon, but we probably should have considered taking our flippers instead. Our timing was off by one day.
From sea to snow capped peaks, it’s obvious why Vancouver and BC continue to be one of the best places to live. It’s engraved on our license plates, BEAUTIFUL BRITISH COLUMBIA.
Ancient blue glacier ice craving out deep valleys. It’s pretty cool standing underneath one...photo credit @dustanwoodhouse
This is a great start to the day!
No better way to share the great outdoors than with friends. @troy.hartley @mike_ilic711 @j_penner70
The ski out back to the truck was more of an adventure than we bargained for...
Exploring the BC backcountry, it did not disappoint...it never really does.
Thank god we are all narcissistic and have the ability to take pictures of ourselves 🤪. This is taken pre-turkey dinner, I’m sure we will all be back in our comfy clothes soon! Merry Christmas!
The crew shredding some turns , it was a 23,000 vertical foot kind of day.
Happy belated Hanukah, Merry Christmas and Happy Holidays to all. Be sure to enjoy the festivities.
Top of Swan Falls. I’ve said it many times before and I will say it again, our license plates say it all. BEAUTIFUL BRITISH COLUMBIA. #gooutside
The coveted annual mission to get our Xmas tree, with of course my Canadian tuxedo jacket on.
Yet another reason (unlimited really...) of why the Left Coast is the best coast! @tami0777
Moss, a non-vascular plant and Mother Nature’s carpet reclaiming the forest.
Capitalizing on a break in the wet coast rain storms.
Just follow the brown line switchbacking through Mother Nature. She’s so damn beautiful!
Day 3 for Black Magic was a bit snowier than initially expected. Thanks to the person who took a few minutes to build a snow creature.
Beauty day for a ride! I should have considered bringing my touring skis.
The West Coast is the Best Coast. #nofliter at sunset.
This was Day 1 on my @yt_industries Capra Pro 29. I thought the last bike was the best, it was a Capra Pro 27. I never thought the small differences in geometry and wheel size would have such a huge positive impact on my riding. Boy was I wrong! Best bike ever!
Oh boy! See a toy...buy a toy! New steed! YT Capra Pro 29 hitting the trails soon.
A tasty beverage while on the water yesterday from @backcountrybrewr and @backcountrybrewing
Epic ride with boys yesterday. Into the Mystic, Last Call, Happy Hour and Lord of the Squirrels. 5 hrs 15 mins, 31 km and 1,397 vertical metres.
Whistler slick rock is my favourite.
Wood to wood gap in Whistler.
Passing underneath the Ironworkers Memorial Bridge on the return journey of dinner-by-boat. No filter.
And now the training starts for Paris 2024 summer olympics.
Archery target: before, during and finished.
Aidan’s first day in the Whistler Bike Park, he had a blast and we rode trails I didn’t think we’d ride 😳. I’m sure we’ll return soon enough.
A rare sighting at the Whistler Bike Park, it’s been at least 10 years.
When the opportunity presented itself, I couldn’t pass up one of my favourite slick rock rolls.
Pre-dinner antics...it’s totally safe!
Aidan is captaining the watercraft, mom in just the passenger. Kalamaka Lake.
#Drewmboat camo @parksidebrewery
Safety first when roasting marshmallows.
Great place to press snooze for 20 minutes. Chez Labowka.
Raw kale. Just not the same as a kale caesar salad.
Saratoga Beach fire.
Canadian tuxedo.
Happy Canada 🇨🇦 Day to everyone near and far. I hope it’s a kick ass day. Play safe.
The @yellowdogbeer squirrel chaser or otherwise known as the chew toy was a hit with me and Moka Labowka
It’s always fun to start the trail with a repel. #mountainbike #climbing
It only took me a half dozen or so tries but I managed to cross the halfway line. This old guy still has it! Fun times.
Follow your path, at times you never know where it’s going to take you. Trust the outcome. Having fun in The Green Room.
This old guy was collecting a few air miles today.
Going vertical. #slickrock
I have a ski buddy, now it’s time to train a biking buddy.
I’m really looking forward to riding this gem once it re-opens. #burkeinmybackyard
Enjoying a distanced beverage with @senorwad @yellowdogbeer
Aidan and a couple buddies are now members at the Pitt Meadows Golf Club. @greggmcnally @genevemcnally @wendy22boddy @jaradboddy @kirstinjhallett
Raw and unedited. Old school skinny with a drop at the end.
I’m still HOME ALONE! Looking forward to the day when I’m able to have some friends over to share these @backcountrybrewing Widowmaker IPAs. #backcountryphotocontest
Zoa Peak, Coquihalla summit 1,500 vertical metres of skiing.
Distancing myself from the real world!
The dry land version of the @andrei_svechnikov37 lacrosse-style goal executed Aidan.
Skis or bike? Bike. The snow won’t stop me.
Does anybody need or want any firewood? It’s free...you come pick it up.
I needed to buck up the trees they fell in the last wind storm. Task complete.
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Ready to Buy Your First Home? Here’s How to Know for Sure Buying your first home is exciting—but it’s also a major financial decision. So how can you tell if you’re truly ready to take that leap into homeownership? Whether you’re confident or still unsure, these four signs are solid indicators that you’re on the right path: 1. You’ve Got Your Down Payment and Closing Costs in Place To purchase a home in Canada, you’ll need at least 5% of the purchase price as a down payment. In addition, plan for around 1.5% to 2% of the home’s value to cover closing costs like legal fees, insurance, and adjustments. If you’ve managed to save this on your own, that’s a great sign of financial discipline. If you're receiving help from a family member through a gifted down payment , that works too—as long as the paperwork is in order. Either way, having these funds ready shows you’re prepared for the upfront costs of homeownership. 2. Your Credit Profile Tells a Good Story Lenders want to know how you manage debt. Before they approve you for a mortgage, they’ll review your credit history. What they typically like to see: At least two active credit accounts (trade lines) , like a credit card or loan Each with a minimum limit of $2,000 Open and active for at least 2 years Even if your credit isn’t perfect, don’t panic. There may still be options, such as using a co-signer or working on a credit improvement plan with a mortgage expert. 3. Your Income Can Support Homeownership—Comfortably A steady income is essential, but not all income is treated equally. If you’re full-time and past probation , you’re in a strong position. If you’re self-employed, on contract, or rely on variable income like tips or commissions, you’ll generally need a two-year history to qualify. A general rule: housing costs (mortgage, taxes, utilities) should stay under 35% of your gross monthly income . That leaves plenty of room for other living expenses, savings, and—yes—some fun too. 4. You’ve Talked to a Mortgage Professional Let’s be real—there’s a lot of info out there about buying a home. Google searches and TikToks can only take you so far. If you're serious about buying, speaking with a mortgage professional is the most effective next step. Why? Because you'll: Get pre-approved (and know what price range you're working with) Understand your loan options and the qualification process Build a game plan that suits your timeline and financial goals The Bottom Line: Being “ready” to buy a home isn’t just about how much you want it—it’s about being financially prepared, credit-ready, and backed by expert advice. If you’re thinking about homeownership, let’s chat. I’d love to help you understand your options, crunch the numbers, and build a plan that gets you confidently across the finish line—keys in hand.
For most Canadians, buying a home isn’t possible without a mortgage. And while getting a mortgage may seem straightforward—borrow money, buy a home, pay it back—it’s the details that make the difference. Understanding how mortgages work (and what to watch out for) is key to keeping your borrowing costs as low as possible. The Basics: How a Mortgage Works A mortgage is a loan secured against your property. You agree to pay it back over an amortization period (often 25 years), divided into shorter terms (ranging from 6 months to 10 years). Each term comes with its own interest rate and rules. While the interest rate is important, it’s not the only thing that determines the true cost of your mortgage. Features, penalties, and flexibility all play a role—and sometimes a slightly higher rate can save you thousands in the long run. Key Questions to Ask Before Choosing a Mortgage How long will you stay in the property? Your timeframe helps determine the right term length and product. Do you need flexibility to move? If a work transfer or lifestyle change is possible, portability may be important. What are the penalties for breaking the mortgage early? This is one of the biggest factors in the real cost of borrowing. A low rate won’t save you if breaking costs you tens of thousands. How are penalties calculated? Some lenders use more borrower-friendly formulas than others. It’s not easy to calculate yourself—get professional help. Can you make extra payments? Prepayment privileges allow you to pay off your mortgage faster, potentially saving years of interest. How is the mortgage registered on title? Some registrations (like collateral charges) can limit your ability to switch lenders at renewal without extra costs. Which type of mortgage fits best? Fixed, variable, HELOCs, or even reverse mortgages each have their place depending on your financial and life situation. What’s your down payment? A larger down payment could reduce or eliminate mortgage insurance premiums, saving thousands upfront. Why the Lowest Rate Isn’t Always the Best Choice It’s tempting to chase the lowest rate, but mortgages with rock-bottom pricing often come with restrictive terms. For example, saving 0.10% on your rate may put a few extra dollars in your pocket each month, but if the mortgage has harsh penalties, you could end up paying thousands more if you break it early. The goal isn’t just the lowest rate—it’s the lowest overall cost of borrowing . That’s why it’s so important to look beyond the headline number and consider the whole picture. The Bottom Line Mortgage financing in Canada is about more than rate shopping. It’s about aligning your mortgage with your financial goals, lifestyle, and future plans. The best way to do that is to work with an independent mortgage professional who can walk you through the fine print and help you secure the product that truly keeps your costs low. If you’d like to explore your options—or review your current mortgage to see if it’s really working in your favour—let’s connect. I’d be happy to help.
